Expect unexpected (421 Ergebnisse)

Sprache: Englisch
Verlag: Independently Published, 2019
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Hardback. Zustand: Very Good. Today, more than 2500 years after they were written, Heraclitus's ideas about life, nature and the cosmos remain as startlingly original as ever. Roger von Oech uses 30 of Heraclitus's epigrams as a springboard to innovation.

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Hardback. Zustand: Good. Today, more than 2500 years after they were written, Heraclitus's ideas about life, nature and the cosmos remain as startlingly original as ever. Roger von Oech uses 30 of Heraclitus's epigrams as a springboard to innovation.

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Paperback. Zustand: Very Good. Open your mind with the creative enigmas of Heraclitus. These innovation strategies--from "You Can't Step in the Same River Twice" to "Dogs Bark at What They Don't Understand"--are as relevant today as they were 2,500 years ago when this provocative Greek philosopher wrote them. Roger von Oech breathes fresh life into these ancient ideas to produce a treasury of useful creativity insights including "Appreciate Turbulence," "Practice Forgetting," "Ask a Fool," "See the Obvious," "Connect the Unconnected," "Find a Pattern," "Use What's Not There," and "Reverse Assumptions." Whether you read it from start to finish as a creativity workbook, or consult it as a daily oracle, Expect the Unexpected or You Won't Find It offers a welcome jolt to the imagination.…

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Paperback. Zustand: Good. Open your mind with the creative enigmas of Heraclitus. These innovation strategies--from "You Can't Step in the Same River Twice" to "Dogs Bark at What They Don't Understand"--are as relevant today as they were 2,500 years ago when this provocative Greek philosopher wrote them. Roger von Oech breathes fresh life into these ancient ideas to produce a treasury of useful creativity insights including "Appreciate Turbulence," "Practice Forgetting," "Ask a Fool," "See the Obvious," "Connect the Unconnected," "Find a Pattern," "Use What's Not There," and "Reverse Assumptions." Whether you read it from start to finish as a creativity workbook, or consult it as a daily oracle, Expect the Unexpected or You Won't Find It offers a welcome jolt to the imagination.…

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Sprache: Englisch
Verlag: Ripley Entertainment Inc Div of The Jim Pattison Group, 2006
Serie: Buch 5 von 37 - ANNUAL
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Hardback. Zustand: Good. In his own words, world-renowned infectious disease specialist Anthony Fauci shares the lessons that have shaped his life philosophy, offering an intimate view of one of the worlds greatest medical minds as well as universal advice to live by.

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Hardback. Zustand: Very Good. In his own words, world-renowned infectious disease specialist Anthony Fauci shares the lessons that have shaped his life philosophy, offering an intimate view of one of the worlds greatest medical minds as well as universal advice to live by.

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Sprache: Englisch
Verlag: Berrett-Koehler Publishers (edition Illustrated), 2002
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Sprache: Englisch
Verlag: Berrett-Koehler Publishers (edition Illustrated), 2002
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Paperback. Zustand: Good. A Waterstones Best Popular Science Book of 2023'Delightfully clear and vivid to read.A splendid book! Philip Pullman'Absolutely fascinating' James O'Brien'An exceptional book - readable, funny and more needed than ever' Dr Chris van Tulleken, bestselling author of Ultra-Processed People· Are you more likely to become a professional footballer if your surname is Ball?· How can you be one hundred per cent sure you will win a bet?· Why did so many Pompeiians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting?· How do you prevent a nuclear war?Ever since the dawn of human civilisation, we have been trying to make predictions about what's in store for us. We do this on a personal level, so that we can get on with our lives efficiently (should I hang my laundry out to dry, or will it rain?). But we also have to predict on a much larger scale, often for the good of our broader society (how can we spot economic downturns or prevent terrorist attacks?). For just as long, we have been getting it wrong. From religious oracles to weather forecasters, and from politicians to economists, we are subjected to poor predictions all the time. Our job is to separate the good from the bad. Unfortunately, the foibles of our own biology - the biases that ultimately make us human - can let us down when it comes to making rational inferences about the world around us. And that can have disastrous consequences.How to Expect the Unexpected will teach you how and why predictions go wrong, help you to spot phony forecasts and give you a better chance of getting your own predictions correct.…

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Paperback. Zustand: Very Good. A Waterstones Best Popular Science Book of 2023'Delightfully clear and vivid to read.A splendid book! Philip Pullman'Absolutely fascinating' James O'Brien'An exceptional book - readable, funny and more needed than ever' Dr Chris van Tulleken, bestselling author of Ultra-Processed People· Are you more likely to become a professional footballer if your surname is Ball?· How can you be one hundred per cent sure you will win a bet?· Why did so many Pompeiians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting?· How do you prevent a nuclear war?Ever since the dawn of human civilisation, we have been trying to make predictions about what's in store for us. We do this on a personal level, so that we can get on with our lives efficiently (should I hang my laundry out to dry, or will it rain?). But we also have to predict on a much larger scale, often for the good of our broader society (how can we spot economic downturns or prevent terrorist attacks?). For just as long, we have been getting it wrong. From religious oracles to weather forecasters, and from politicians to economists, we are subjected to poor predictions all the time. Our job is to separate the good from the bad. Unfortunately, the foibles of our own biology - the biases that ultimately make us human - can let us down when it comes to making rational inferences about the world around us. And that can have disastrous consequences.How to Expect the Unexpected will teach you how and why predictions go wrong, help you to spot phony forecasts and give you a better chance of getting your own predictions correct.…

- Softcover
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Paperback. Zustand: Good. A thief on the farm. A goat kidnapped by a gang of cats. A giant chicken. Ducky the Spy and Donny "The Distraction" Donkey are on the case. From the internationally renowned creator of Frank's Red Hat comes a brand new terrific tale, fresh from the funny, and funky, farm. Avery, Sean E (illustrator). …

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Paperback. Zustand: Fair. A thief on the farm. A goat kidnapped by a gang of cats. A giant chicken. Ducky the Spy and Donny "The Distraction" Donkey are on the case. From the internationally renowned creator of Frank's Red Hat comes a brand new terrific tale, fresh from the funny, and funky, farm. Avery, Sean E (illustrator). …

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Hardback. Zustand: Good. A "vivid, wide-ranging, and delightful guide" (bestselling author Tim Harford) for understanding how and why predictions go wrong, with practical tips to give you a better chance of getting them right How can you be 100 percent sure you will win a bet? Why did so many Pompeians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting? Are you more likely to work in a kitchen if your last name is Baker? Ever since the dawn of human civilization, we have been trying to make predictions about what the world has in store for us. For just as long, we have been getting it wrong. In How to Expect the Unexpected, mathematician Kit Yates uncovers the surprising science that undergirds our predictions--and how we can use it to our advantage.    From religious oracles to weather forecasters, and from politicians to economists, we are subjected to poor predictions all the time. Synthesizing results from math, biology, psychology, sociology, medicine, economic theory, and physics, Yates provides tools for readers to understand uncertainty and to recognize the cognitive biases that make accurate predictions so hard to come by.   This book will teach you how and why predictions go wrong, help you to spot phony forecasts, and give you a better chance of getting your own predictions correct. .…

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Paperback. Zustand: Very Good. It's a well-cared-for item that has seen limited use. The item may show minor signs of wear. All the text is legible, with all pages included. It may have slight markings and/or highlighting. Avery, Sean E (illustrator).

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