How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Smart Predictions

Kit Yates

196 Bewertungen von Goodreads

Sprache: Englisch

Verlag: Quercus Publishing, 2024

1529408695 / 9781529408690

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Anbieter: World of Books (was SecondSale), Montgomery, IL, USAWorld of Books (was SecondSale)

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Verkäufer:in bei ZVAB seit 20. Dezember 2007

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Artikelbeschreibung des Verkäufers

A Waterstones Best Popular Science Book of 2023'Delightfully clear and vivid to read.A splendid book! Philip Pullman'Absolutely fascinating' James O'Brien'An exceptional book - readable, funny and more needed than ever' Dr Chris van Tulleken, bestselling author of Ultra-Processed People· Are you more likely to become a professional footballer if your surname is Ball?· How can you be one hundred per cent sure you will win a bet?· Why did so many Pompeiians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting?· How do you prevent a nuclear war?Ever since the dawn of human civilisation, we have been trying to make predictions about what's in store for us. We do this on a personal level, so that we can get on with our lives efficiently (should I hang my laundry out to dry, or will it rain?). But we also have to predict on a much larger scale, often for the good of our broader society (how can we spot economic downturns or prevent terrorist attacks?). For just as long, we have been getting it wrong. From religious oracles to weather forecasters, and from politicians to economists, we are subjected to poor predictions all the time. Our job is to separate the good from the bad. Unfortunately, the foibles of our own biology - the biases that ultimately make us human - can let us down when it comes to making rational inferences about the world around us. And that can have disastrous consequences.How to Expect the Unexpected will teach you how and why predictions go wrong, help you to spot phony forecasts and give you a better chance of getting your own predictions correct. …

Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers 00107156695

Titel
How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Smart Predictions
Autor
Kit Yates
Verlag
Quercus Publishing
Erscheinungsjahr
2024
Zustand
Very Good
Einband
Paperback
Sprache
Englisch
ISBN-10
1529408695
ISBN-13
9781529408690

World of Books (was SecondSale)

Montgomery, IL, USA

Verkäufer/-in mit 5 Sternen

Verkäufer:in bei ZVAB seit 20. Dezember 2007

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Founded in 2002, World of Books is a leading online destination for buying and selling both preloved and new books, committed to making sustainable reading accessible to all. With a mission to help people read more and waste less, World of Books offers a huge range of affordable, high-quality books — giving both new and preloved titles a second life. The company also operates World of Books – Sell Your Books, an easy-to-use platform that allows customers to trade in unwanted books for cash, helping to keep books in circulation while promoting sustainability. As a Certified B Corp, World of Books is driven by a vision to become the world’s largest and most sustainable dedicated online bookstore. The company measures its success through the positive environmental impact it creates, the value it provides to customers, and its ability to operate profitably while supporting its sustainable mission …

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