ISBN: 9780735216372 - thinking in bets: making smarter decisions when you don't have all the facts (35 Ergebnisse)

Paperback. Zustand: Fair. NATIONAL BESTSELLER . Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result in "the ultimate guide to thinking about risk" (Charles Duhigg, author of The Power of Habit). "A big favorite among investors these days."-The NewYork Times "Outstanding."-Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck? Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.…

Paperback. Zustand: Very Good. Reprint. It's a well-cared-for item that has seen limited use. The item may show minor signs of wear. All the text is legible, with all pages included. It may have slight markings and/or highlighting.

Paperback. Zustand: Very Good. Reprint. It's a well-cared-for item that has seen limited use. The item may show minor signs of wear. All the text is legible, with all pages included. It may have slight markings and/or highlighting.

Zustand: good. Gently used with minimal wear on the corners and cover. A few pages may contain light highlighting or writing, but the text remains fully legible. Dust jacket may be missing, and supplemental materials like CDs or codes may not be included. May be ex-library with library markings. Ships promptly. …

Paperback. Zustand: Good. NATIONAL BESTSELLER . Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result in "the ultimate guide to thinking about risk" (Charles Duhigg, author of The Power of Habit). "A big favorite among investors these days."-The NewYork Times "Outstanding."-Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck? Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.…

Paperback. Zustand: New.

Zustand: Good. Pages intact with minimal writing/highlighting. The binding may be loose and creased. Dust jackets/supplements are not included. Stock photo provided. Product includes identifying sticker. Better World Books: Buy Books. Do Good.

paperback. Zustand: New. Brand new book, sourced directly from publisher. Dispatch time is 24-48 hours from our warehouse. Book will be sent in robust, secure packaging to ensure it reaches you securely.

Zustand: New.

paperback. Zustand: New. Brand new book, sourced directly from publisher. Dispatch time is 9-10 days from our warehouse. Book will be sent in robust, secure packaging to ensure it reaches you securely.

PAP. Zustand: New. New Book. Shipped from UK. Established seller since 2000.

Zustand: new.

Zustand: very good. Gut/Very good: Buch bzw. Schutzumschlag mit wenigen Gebrauchsspuren an Einband, Schutzumschlag oder Seiten. / Describes a book or dust jacket that does show some signs of wear on either the binding, dust jacket or pages.

Zustand: New. pp. 288.

Paperback. Zustand: Brand New. reprint edition. 288 pages. 8.25x5.50x0.68 inches. In Stock.

Zustand: New. 2019. paperback. . . . . .

Zustand: New. In English.

Paperback. Zustand: Brand New. reprint edition. 288 pages. 8.25x5.50x0.68 inches. In Stock.

Paperback. Zustand: Brand New. reprint edition. 288 pages. 8.25x5.50x0.68 inches. In Stock.

Zustand: New. pp. 288.

Zustand: New. 2019. paperback. . . . . . Books ship from the US and Ireland.

Zustand: New.

Paperback. Zustand: New. Special order direct from the distributor.

Zustand: As New. Unread book in perfect condition.

Paperback. Zustand: Very Good. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged.

Encuadernación de tapa blanda. Zustand: Muy bien. X2506D05516. 371 g. Rústica. Estado, muy bien. English. Autoayuda.

Taschenbuch. Zustand: Neu. Neuware - NATIONAL BESTSELLER Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result in the ultimate guide to thinking about risk (Charles Duhigg, author of The Power of Habit). A big favorite among investors these days. The NewYork Times Outstanding. Jason Zweig, The Wall Street JournalIn Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I What are the possible ways things could turn out What decision has the highest odds of success Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say 'I'm not sure' in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes.By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.…

Paperback. Zustand: New.

Paperback. Zustand: new. Paperback. A Wall Street Journal bestseller, now in paperback. Poker champion turned decision strategist Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions.NATIONAL BESTSELLER . Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result in "the ultimate guide to thinking about risk" (Charles Duhigg, author of The Power of Habit)."A big favorite among investors these days."-The NewYork Times"Outstanding."-Jason Zweig, The Wall Street JournalIn Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck?Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making?Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes.By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run. "Thinking in Bets" by Author Annie Duke is that it provides a practical guide to making better decisions by teaching readers how to think more critically, embrace uncertainty, and use the principles of poker to make more informed choices in their personal and professional lives. Shipping may be from our Sydney, NSW warehouse or from our UK or US warehouse, depending on stock availability.…

Zustand: NEW.