Isbn: 9780452297579 - future babble: why pundits are hedgehogs and foxes know best (8 Ergebnisse)

Zustand: Good. Item in good condition. Textbooks may not include supplemental items i.e. CDs, access codes etc.

Paperback. Zustand: Good. No Jacket. Former library book; Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Paperback. Zustand: Good. No Jacket. Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Paperback. Zustand: Good. No Jacket. Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Zustand: good. Befriedigend/Good: Durchschnittlich erhaltenes Buch bzw. Schutzumschlag mit Gebrauchsspuren, aber vollständigen Seiten. / Describes the average WORN book or dust jacket that has all the pages present.

Paperback. Zustand: Brand New. reprint edition. 320 pages. 8.25x5.75x0.75 inches. In Stock.

Taschenbuch. Zustand: Neu. Neuware - New York Times bestselling author of Superforecasting and Future Babble 'Genuinely arresting . . . required reading for journalists, politicians, academics, and anyone who listens to them.'--Steven Pinker, author of How the Mind Works We are awash in predictions. In newspapers, blogs, and books; on radio and television. Every day experts tell us how the economy will perform next year, if housing sales will grow or shrink, and who will win the next election. Predictions are offered about the climate, food, technology, and the world our grandchildren will inhabit. And we can't get enough of it.Drawing on research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner explores our obsession with the future. He shows how famous pundits, 'hedgehogs' who stick to one big idea no matter how circumstances change, become expert at explaining away predictions that are wrong while 'foxes,' who are more equivocal in their judgments, are simply more accurate. …

Zustand: New. &Uumlber den AutorrnrnDAN GARDNER is the New York Times bestselling author of books about psychology and decision-making. His books have been published in 21 countries and 17 languages.In The Science of Fear, Gardner reveals why we so o.