turchin peter (119 Ergebnisse)

Zustand: New. &Uumlber den AutorPeter Turchin is Project Leader at the Complexity Science Hub in Vienna, Research Associate at University of Oxford, and Emeritus Professor at the University of Connecticut. Trained as a theoretical biologist, h.

Zustand: Good. Your purchase helps support Sri Lankan Children's Charity 'The Rainbow Centre'. Ex-library, so some stamps and wear, but in good overall condition. Our donations to The Rainbow Centre have helped provide an education and a safe haven to hundreds of children who live in appalling conditions.

PAP. Zustand: New. New Book. Shipped from UK. Established seller since 2000.

Paperback. Zustand: Very Good. No Jacket. Former library book; May have limited writing in cover pages. Pages are unmarked. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 0.7.

Zustand: very good. Gut/Very good: Buch bzw. Schutzumschlag mit wenigen Gebrauchsspuren an Einband, Schutzumschlag oder Seiten. / Describes a book or dust jacket that does show some signs of wear on either the binding, dust jacket or pages.

Zustand: Very Good. Ships from the UK. Used book that is in excellent condition. May show signs of wear or have minor defects.

Hardcover. Zustand: Good. First Edition. With dust jacket Ship within 24hrs. Satisfaction 100% guaranteed. APO/FPO addresses supported.

Paperback. Zustand: Very Good. The numbers that tell the story of humanity 'Vital . If you're thinking about setting up a giant land empire in Asia, you cannot do so without this book . If only the last Song emperor had had this book by his side, he might have avoided his appalling fate' Dan Snow What was history's biggest empire? Or the tallest building of the ancient world? What was the average life expectancy in medieval Byzantium? The average wage in Old Kingdom Egypt? Where did scientific writing first emerge? What was the bloodiest ritual human sacrifice ever? We are used to thinking about history in terms of stories. Yet we understand our own world through data: vast arrays of statistics that reveal the workings of our societies. So, join the radical historians Peter Turchin and Dan Hoyer for a dive into the numbers that reveal the true shape of the past. Drawing on their own Seshat project, a staggeringly ambitious attempt to log each piece of demographic and econometric information that can be reliably estimated for every society that has ever existed, Figuring Out The Past does more than tell the story of the past: it shows you the large-scale patterns. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged.

Zustand: Gut. Zustand: Gut | Sprache: Französisch | Produktart: Bücher.

Paperback. Zustand: Very Good. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged.

PAP. Zustand: New. New Book. Shipped from UK. Established seller since 2000.

Zustand: good. Befriedigend/Good: Durchschnittlich erhaltenes Buch bzw. Schutzumschlag mit Gebrauchsspuren, aber vollständigen Seiten. / Describes the average WORN book or dust jacket that has all the pages present.

Zustand: Very Good. Used book that is in excellent condition. May show signs of wear or have minor defects.

Zustand: Gut. Zustand: Gut | Sprache: Italienisch | Produktart: Bücher.

Zustand: New. Peter Turchin is a project leader at the Complexity Science Hub Vienna, a research associate at the University of Oxford, and an emeritus professor at the University of Connecticut. Trained as a theoretical biologist, he is now working in the field o.

Zustand: Hervorragend. Zustand: Hervorragend | Seiten: 496 | Sprache: Türkisch | Produktart: Bücher.

hardcover. Zustand: Gut. 260 Seiten; 9780691116693.3 Gewicht in Gramm: 1.

Zustand: Good. Used book that is in clean, average condition without any missing pages.

Zustand: very good. Gut/Very good: Buch bzw. Schutzumschlag mit wenigen Gebrauchsspuren an Einband, Schutzumschlag oder Seiten. / Describes a book or dust jacket that does show some signs of wear on either the binding, dust jacket or pages.

Zustand: New. Idioma/Language: Español. Los procesos históricos son dinámicos. Las poblaciones crecen y caen. Los imperios se expanden y colapsan. Las religiones florecen y se marchitan. Los científicos han logrado grandes avances en la comprensión de los procesos dinámicos en la física y la biología utilizando un en-foque sintético que combina los modelos matemáticos con el análisis estadístico, pero estos avances no se habían aplicado anteriormente a la historia de seres humanos. Este libro muestra que una investigación similar puede hacer avanzar nuestra comprensión de los procesos dinámicos en la historia. Peter Turchin desarrolla su teoría «Cliodinámica» a partir de la conversión de una amplia gama de factores sociales, políticos, económicos y demográficos a modelos matemáticos. Centrándose en aspectos como la geopolítica, los factores que afectan la solidaridad colectiva, la asimilación étnica, la conversión religiosa, la interacción entre la población o la estabilidad sociopolítica. Las pruebas demuestran que ciertos modelos predicen patrones con un grado muy alto de precisión. Por ejemplo, explica las olas recurrentes de ruptura de los Estados en la Europa medieval y moderna o confirman que la solidaridad etnonacionalista produce un estado agresivamente expansivo bajo ciertas condiciones. La fuerza de los resultados de Turchin sugiere que el enfoque que él defiende puede mejorar significativamente nuestra comprensión de la dinámica histórica. «Peter Turchin, quizás el historiador más estudiado del momento». Matthew Syed, The Times. «Peter Turchin, el Nostradamus de la historia que hace diez años ya predijo que 2020 sería atroz». Miquel Echarri, El País. «Una maravillosa mirada entre bastidores a un esfuerzo por convertir las teorías informales en modelos matemáticos convincentes capaces de producir nuevos conocimientos». William C. Terry, Universidad Cemson. "Peter Turchin, el científico que predijo los conflictos de 2020". Dimas Ibarra (Cambio 16) *** Nota: Los envíos a España peninsular, Baleares y Canarias se realizan a través de mensajería urgente. No aceptamos pedidos con destino a Ceuta y Melilla.

Paper Back. Zustand: Used.

Paperback. Zustand: Brand New. 410 pages. 9.00x6.00x0.93 inches. In Stock.

Paperback. Zustand: As New. First Edition. Illustrated with a few charts, small thick octavo, pp xviii, 450, paperback, an extremely good copy, virtually as new. [Why do organisms become extremely abundant one year and then seem to disappear a few years later? Why do population outbreaks in particular species happen more or less regularly in certain locations, but only irregularly (or never at all) in other locations? Complex population dynamics have fascinated biologists for decades. By bringing together mathematical models, statistical analyses, and field experiments, this book offers a comprehensive new synthesis of the theory of population oscillations. Peter Turchin first reviews the conceptual tools that ecologists use to investigate population oscillations, introducing population modeling and the statistical analysis of time series data. He then provides an in-depth discussion of several case studies--including the larch budmoth, southern pine beetle, red grouse, voles and lemmings, snowshoe hare, and ungulates--to develop a new analysis of the mechanisms that drive population oscillations in nature. Through such work, the author argues, ecologists can develop general laws of population dynamics that will help turn ecology into a truly quantitative and predictive science.].

Soft cover. Zustand: Near Fine. Limited Edition. FIRST EDITION, LIMITED to 1000 Copies. ** Volume features full-color illustrated gray covers with return flaps. Volume displays minimal overall wear. Covers exhibit minimal edgewear with slight bumping of corners. Spine ends show some minimal rubbing. Binding is secure. Inside pages are free of writing and intentional marks. Book may exhibit additional minor signs of age or wear. ** 106 pages. 8.75 x 11 inches. ** Book features full-color illustrated gray covers with return flaps. ** Catalog is paired with three essays by various writers. All illustrations are captioned and occasionally accompanied with quotes by the artist. ** The intriguing art of Ryan McGinness is here brought to light through the insight of three distinguished scholars, as well as the inspiring quotes of the artist himself that complete the catalog. The volume thus allows a rare penetration into the world of the artist, and the true meaning of his puzzling work. McGinness' art has a profound philosophical scope that is expressed in various ways in his productions, and the essays shed a new light on some otherwise abstruse aspects of his output. His works include painting, drawing, sculpture and numerous other forms, that are displayed in full-color in this beautiful catalog. The quotes along the way will engage them into a reflection on the meaning of that art and how it can change our view on life. ** Ryan McGinness (b. 1972) is an American artist who uses the visual language of public signage, corporate logos, and contemporary iconography to convey his special message to his audience. His work includes paintings, sculptures, and environments, and he is noted for his extensive vocabulary of graphic drawings. ** EDITION POINTS: First Edition, Limited to 1000 Copies. ** Postage for oversized and international shipping will be calculated by size and weight. AbeBooks shipping quotes are ESTIMATES only.