Standard Deviations: Flawed Assumptions, Tortured Data, and other Ways to Lie with Statistics

Gary Smith

Verlag: Duckworth Overlook, 2014
ISBN 10: 0715649140 / ISBN 13: 9780715649145
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Did you know that having a messy room will make you racist? Or that human beings possess the ability to postpone death until after important ceremonial occasions? Or that people live three to five years longer if they have positive initials, like ACE? All of these ?facts? have been argued with a straight face by researchers and backed up with reams of data and convincing statistics. As Nobel Prize-winning economist Ronald Coase once cynically observed, ?If you torture data long enough, it will confess.? Lying with statistics is a time-honoured con. In Standard Deviations, economics professor Gary Smith walks us through the various tricks and traps that people use to back up their own crackpot theories. Sometimes, the unscrupulous deliberately try to mislead us. Other times, the well-intentioned are blissfully unaware of the mischief they are committing. Today, data are so plentiful that researchers spend precious little time distinguishing between good, meaningful deductions and total rubbish. Not only do others use data to fool us, we fool ourselves. Printed Pages: 326. Buchnummer des Verkäufers 79503

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Did you know that baseball players whose names begin with the letter ''D'' are more likely to die young? Or that Asian Americans are most susceptible to heart attacks on the fourth day of the month? Or that drinking a full pot of coffee every morning will add years to your life, but one cup a day increases the risk of pancreatic cancer? All of these ''facts'' have been argued with a straight face by credentialed researchers and backed up with reams of data and convincing statistics.

As Nobel Prize-winning economist Ronald Coase once cynically observed, ''If you torture data long enough, it will confess.'' Lying with statistics is a time-honored con. In Standard Deviations, economics professor Gary Smith walks us through the various tricks and traps that people use to back up their own crackpot theories. Sometimes, the unscrupulous deliberately try to mislead us. Other times, the well-intentioned are blissfully unaware of the mischief they are committing. Today, data is so plentiful that researchers spend precious little time distinguishing between good, meaningful indicators and total rubbish. Not only do others use data to fool us, we fool ourselves.

About the Author:

Gary Smith is the Fletcher Jones Professor of Economics at Pomona College in Claremont, California. He received his doctorate in economics from Yale University and taught there as assistant professor for seven years. Smith has won two teaching awards and has authored more than seventy academic papers, nine textbooks, and seven educational software programs.

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Bibliografische Details

Titel: Standard Deviations: Flawed Assumptions, ...
Verlag: Duckworth Overlook
Erscheinungsdatum: 2014
Einband: Softcover
Zustand: New
Auflage: First edition.

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Gary Smith
Verlag: Duckworth Bloomsbury Trade Okt 2016 (2016)
ISBN 10: 071565103X ISBN 13: 9780715651032
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Buchbeschreibung Duckworth Bloomsbury Trade Okt 2016, 2016. Taschenbuch. Buchzustand: Neu. Neuware - Did you know that having a messy room will make you racist Or that people live three to five years longer if they have positive initials, like ACE All of these facts have been argued with a straight face by researchers and backed up with reams of data and convincing statistics. Standard Deviations is a lively deconstruction of statistical lies we so easily lap up and the damage they do, bringing into stark relief the fraud that surrounds us all. Ideal for fans of Freakonomics and Thinking, Fast and Slow. 328 pp. Englisch. Artikel-Nr. 9780715651032

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