Signal & The Noise
Silver, Nate
ISBN 10: 0141975652 ISBN 13: 9780141975658
Verlag: Penguin, 2013
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Gently used with minimal wear on the corners and cover. A few pages may contain light highlighting or writing, but the text remains fully legible. Dust jacket may be missing, and supplemental materials like CDs or codes may not be included. May be ex-library with library markings. Ships promptly! Bestandsnummer des Verkäufers DBV.0141975652.G
Inhaltsangabe:
The International Bestseller by 'The Galileo of number crunchers' (Independent)
Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. The rise of 'big data' has the potential to help us predict the future, yet much of it is misleading, useless or distracting.
In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can all learn to detect the true signals amid a noise of data.
'Remarkable and rewarding' Matthew D'Ancona, Sunday Telegraph
'A lucid explanation of how to think probabilistically' Guardian
Über die Autorin bzw. den Autor: Nate Silver is the founder of FiveThirtyEight and the internationally bestselling author of The Signal and the Noise, which was published in a dozen languages. He writes the Substack 'Silver Bulletin'.
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Titel: Signal & The Noise
Verlag: Penguin
Erscheinungsdatum: 2013
Einband: Softcover
Zustand: good
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The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction
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paperback. Zustand: Very Good. Most of our very good books have only minor imperfections such as shelf wear consistent with a new book that's sat on a bookshop shelf for a year or two. Occasionally we may miss other minor imperfections as we have to grade books at speed. Our books are dispatched from a Yorkshire former cotton mill. We list via barcode/ISBN so please note that the images are stock images and may not be the exact copy you receive, furthermore the details about edition and year might not be accurate as many publishers reuse the same ISBN for multiple editions and as we simply scan a barcode or enter an ISBN we do not check the validity of the edition data when listing. If you're looking for an exact edition please don't order (at least not without checking with us first, although we don't always have time to check). We aim to dispatch prompty, the service used will depend on order value and book size. We can ship to most countries, see our shipping policies. Payment is via Abe only. Artikel-Nr. mon0000065044
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The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction
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Zustand: Good. Most items will be dispatched the same or the next working day. A copy that has been read but remains in clean condition. All of the pages are intact and the cover is intact and the spine may show signs of wear. The book may have minor markings which are not specifically mentioned. Artikel-Nr. rev7911567536
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Signal & The Noise
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Penguin Press/Classics (edition ), 2013
ISBN 10: 0141975652
ISBN 13: 9780141975658
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Paperback. Zustand: Fair. The item might be beaten up but readable. May contain markings or highlighting, as well as stains, bent corners, or any other major defect, but the text is not obscured in any way. Artikel-Nr. 0141975652-7-18
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The Signal and the Noise : The Art and Science of Prediction
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Zustand: Good. Former library copy. Pages intact with minimal writing/highlighting. The binding may be loose and creased. Dust jackets/supplements are not included. Includes library markings. Stock photo provided. Product includes identifying sticker. Better World Books: Buy Books. Do Good. Artikel-Nr. 8000250-6
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The Signal and the Noise : The Art and Science of Prediction
Anbieter: Better World Books Ltd, Dunfermline, Vereinigtes Königreich
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Zustand: Very Good. Former library copy. Pages intact with possible writing/highlighting. Binding strong with minor wear. Dust jackets/supplements may not be included. Includes library markings. Stock photo provided. Product includes identifying sticker. Better World Books: Buy Books. Do Good. Artikel-Nr. 8501311-6
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The Signal and the Noise : The Art and Science of Prediction
Anbieter: Better World Books Ltd, Dunfermline, Vereinigtes Königreich
Verkäuferbewertung 5 von 5 Sternen
Zustand: Good. Pages intact with minimal writing/highlighting. The binding may be loose and creased. Dust jackets/supplements are not included. Stock photo provided. Product includes identifying sticker. Better World Books: Buy Books. Do Good. Artikel-Nr. 15123055-6
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Beispielbild für diese ISBN
Signal & The Noise
Verlag:
Penguin Press/Classics (edition ), 2013
ISBN 10: 0141975652
ISBN 13: 9780141975658
Gebraucht
Paperback
Anbieter: BooksRun, Philadelphia, PA, USA
Verkäuferbewertung 5 von 5 Sternen
Paperback. Zustand: Fair. The item might be beaten up but readable. May contain markings or highlighting, as well as stains, bent corners, or any other major defect, but the text is not obscured in any way. Artikel-Nr. 0141975652-7-1
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The Signal and the Noise : The Art and Science of Prediction
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Paperback. Zustand: Good. Spine creased. Orders received by 3pm Sent from the UK that weekday. Artikel-Nr. cb265-626-0201
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The Signal And The Noise: The Art And Science Of Prediction
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Paperback. Zustand: Fair. Human beings have to make plans and strategize for the future. As the pace of our lives becomes faster and faster, we have to do so more often and more quickly. But are our predictions any good? Is there hope for improvement? In this book the author examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy, ever-increasing data. Many predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. We are wired to detect a signal, and we mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the prediction paradox: the more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, and the more we are willing to learn from our mistakes, the more we can turn information into knowledge and data into foresight. Water stain and creases to front cover, spine sunned. 534 pages. Artikel-Nr. 1596155
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Signal & The Noise
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Paperback. Zustand: Fair. No Jacket. Readable copy. Pages may have considerable notes/highlighting. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less. Artikel-Nr. G0141975652I5N00
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