2013. 1st Edition. paperback. Reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, the author takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make predictions in our lives. Num Pages: 544 pages. BIC Classification: PBT; PDZM. Category: (P) Professional & Vocational; (U) Tertiary Education (US: College). Dimension: 197 x 130 x 29. Weight in Grams: 368. . . . . . Books ship from the US and Ireland.

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Titel: The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction
Verlag: Penguin
Erscheinungsjahr: 2013
Sprache: Englisch
ISBN-10: 0141975652
ISBN-13: 9780141975658
Einband: Softcover
Zustand: New

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The International Bestseller by 'The Galileo of number crunchers' (Independent)

Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. The rise of 'big data' has the potential to help us predict the future, yet much of it is misleading, useless or distracting.

In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can all learn to detect the true signals amid a noise of data.

'Remarkable and rewarding' Matthew D'Ancona, Sunday Telegraph

'A lucid explanation of how to think probabilistically' Guardian

�ber die Autorin bzw. den Autor

Nate Silver is the founder of FiveThirtyEight and the internationally bestselling author of The Signal and the Noise, which was published in a dozen languages. He writes the Substack 'Silver Bulletin'.

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