Betting Against the Crowd: A Complex Systems Approach - Softcover

Neuman, Yair

 
9783031520181: Betting Against the Crowd: A Complex Systems Approach
Softcover
ISBN 10: 3031520181 ISBN 13: 9783031520181
Verlag: Springer, 2024

Inhaltsangabe

Crowds are misleading, both in their simplicity and in their complexity. On the one hand, they behave according to expected trends; on the other, they present sudden shifts and frantic, unexpected behavior. Therefore, “betting against the crowd,” whether in politics, sports, or finance, requires a deep understanding of the crowd’s dynamics. In this book, Prof. Neuman addresses this challenge by delving into the complexity of crowds. The book involves foundational issues and novel ideas, such as why crowds behave unexpectedly, why betting against the crowd is possible only in short time frames, why is it important to be attentive to suspicious signs that are indicative of the crowd’s behavior, and why the long tail of fatalities in armed conflicts leaves us surprised by blitz attacks of violent mobs. The book combines scientific knowledge, experiments, and accessible, often humorous, exposition. It can be read by anyone with a basic science education who seeks to understand crowds and how one can act within and against them.

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Über die Autorin bzw. den Autor

Yair Neuman (b. 1968) is a polymath with expertise in interdisciplinary research where he draws on diverse disciplines to creatively address real-world and academic challenges. He is the head of the Functor Lab, at the Ben-Gurion University. Prof. Neuman has published numerous papers and ten academic books and was a visiting scholar/Prof. at M.I.T., University of Toronto, University of Oxford, and Weizmann Institute of Science. Beyond his purely academic work, he developed state-of-the-art algorithms for social and cognitive computing, such as those he developed for IARPA and currently developing for a DARPA project. His most recent books are: "How Small Social Systems Work: From Soccer Teams to Jazz Trios and Families" (Springer), "How to Find a Needle in a Haystack: From Solo Perpetrators to the Insider Threat" (Chaman & Hall/CRC Press), and "Using AI for Dialoguing with Texts" (Routledge).

Von der hinteren Coverseite

Crowds are misleading, both in their simplicity and in their complexity. On the one hand, they behave according to expected trends; on the other, they present sudden shifts and frantic, unexpected behavior. Therefore, “betting against the crowd,” whether in politics, sports, or finance, requires a deep understanding of the crowd’s dynamics. In this book, Prof. Neuman addresses this challenge by delving into the complexity of crowds. The book involves foundational issues and novel ideas, such as why crowds behave unexpectedly, why betting against the crowd is possible only in short time frames, why is it important to be attentive to suspicious signs that are indicative of the crowd’s behavior, and why the long tail of fatalities in armed conflicts leaves us surprised by blitz attacks of violent mobs. The book combines scientific knowledge, experiments, and accessible, often humorous, exposition. It can be read by anyone with a basic science education who seeks to understand crowds and how one can act within and against them.

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Verlag
Springer
Erscheinungsdatum
2024
Sprache
Englisch
ISBN 10 
3031520181
ISBN 13 
9783031520181
Einband
Taschenbuch
Auflage
1
Anzahl der Seiten
184
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