Particle emission concept and probabilistic consideration of the development of infections in systems: Dynamics from logarithm and exponent in the infection process, percolation effects - Softcover

Hellwig, Marcus

 
9783030694999: Particle emission concept and probabilistic consideration of the development of infections in systems: Dynamics from logarithm and exponent in the infection process, percolation effects
Softcover
ISBN 10: 3030694992 ISBN 13: 9783030694999
Verlag: Springer, 2021

Inhaltsangabe

The book describes the possibility of making a probabilistic prognosis, which uses the mean n-day logarithm of case numbers in the past to determine an exponent for a probability density for a prognosis, as well as the particle emission concept, which is derived from contact and distribution rates that increase the exponent of the probable development to the extent that a group of people can be formed. 


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Über die Autorin bzw. den Autor

​Marcus Hellwig is quality manager according to qualification by the German Society for Quality DGQ and author of reference books.

Von der hinteren Coverseite

The book describes the possibility of making a probabilistic prognosis, which uses the mean n-day logarithm of case numbers in the past to determine an exponent for a probability density for a prognosis, as well as the particle emission concept, which is derived from contact and distribution rates that increase the exponent of the probable development to the extent that a group of people can be formed. 


The content
Trends in the spread of infections, distribution and contact rates
Addition of the 4th parameter kurtosis to the density Eqb
Prediction using the density function and continuous adjustment of the parameters
Basics for exponential propagation, the logarithm of historical data
Developments in the USA
Incidence under probabilistic aspects
On the percolation theory COVID
Examples of percolation effects   

Thetarget groups
Management of health resources and services, virology, students, statisticians

The author
​Marcus Hellwig is quality manager according to qualification by the German Society for Quality DGQ and author of reference books.

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Verlag
Springer
Erscheinungsdatum
2021
Sprache
Englisch
ISBN 10 
3030694992
ISBN 13 
9783030694999
Einband
Taschenbuch
Auflage
1
Anzahl der Seiten
124
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