Forewarned: A Sceptic's Guide to Prediction - Softcover

Goodwin, Paul

 
9781785902222: Forewarned: A Sceptic's Guide to Prediction

Inhaltsangabe

Whether it’s an unforeseen financial crash, a shock election result, or an expectedbarbecue season that sees record rainfall, forecasts have impacts on us all. Forewarned is a consumer’s guide to prediction, based on the very latest scientific research. By the end of the book you’ll be better placed to make informed decisions in a volatile world. You’ll know when forecasts can be a reliable guide to the vicissitudes and uncertainties of the future - and when they are best ignored.

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Über die Autorin bzw. den Autor

Paul Goodwin is an Emeritus Professor at the University of Bath, where he taught and researched forecasting and decision making. He has a PhD from Lancaster University and an MSc from Warwick University and he has acted as a consultant to both leading companies and government departments. In 2013 he was elected as an Honorary Fellow of the International Institute of Forecasters in recognition of his contribution to forecasting.

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