Are you really ready for change? Are you prepared for a world changing as fast as you can read this sentence? Most leaders say they are prepared for the future, yet many organizations and communities are doing things in the same old way they’ve been working for decades. We’re living on the precipice of a new era in human history. Preparing For A World That Doesn’t Exist - Yet offers an approach to getting ready for an emerging society that will be increasingly fast paced, interconnected, interdependent, and complex. In Preparing For A World That Doesn’t Exist - Yet, you will learn about an emerging Second Enlightenment and the capacities you’ll need to achieve success in this new, fast-evolving world. Higher education, health and wellness, governance and the economy are transforming in ways few of us could have imagined ten or even five years ago. In this book, you’ll get the skills you need to ride the wave of the future and the perspective you’ll need to be ready to catch the next wave, too. Planners, physicians, government and higher-education leaders are using the principles and capacities described in this book to create better organizations, and best of all communities of the future that will lead to a planet that can thrive. Join them in looking at the future with excitement and anticipation.
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Rick Smyre is an internationally recognized futurist specializing in the area he helped originate called “community transformation.”
Neil Richardson is a strategist and a public servant who specializes in smart government advocacy and integral thinking.
Rick Smyre is an internationally recognized futurist specializing in the area he helped originate called “community transformation.”
Neil Richardson is a strategist and a public servant who specializes in smart government advocacy and integral thinking.
Foreword,
Prologue,
Chapter 1 Emerging from the Mist: The Rise of a Second Enlightenment,
Chapter 2 Master Capacity Builders for Community Transformation,
Chapter 3 Transformational Learning: The Foundation for Future Colleges and Continuous Uplearning,
Chapter 4 Building a Creative Molecular Economy,
Chapter 5 The Emergence of Polycentric Democracy and Mobile Collaborative Governance,
Chapter 6 pH Ecosystem: A Comprehensive Approach to Community-based Preventive Healthcare,
Epilogue,
Glossary,
Emerging From the Mist: The Rise of a Second Enlightenment
A New Enlightenment
We are in a transition from an Industrial Society to an Ecological Civilization that will transform the fundamental principles of thinking and organization. Although it took 100 years for the First Enlightenment (1720–1820) to emerge, eventually a phrase appeared amongst the moderate thinkers of the time that personified the epoch. That phrase was "the new light," and the term Enlightenment became the historical way to capture the spirit of that age. Today's phrases, equally well known, are the "Space Age" and the "Information Age."
We live in an age of transformation where the concepts that grew out of the Enlightenment and undergirded the Industrial Age are evolving to a new worldview, complete with new fundamental principles, strategies and methods. No one is presumptuous enough at this stage in the historical transformation from one age to the next to think that all the key ideas and concepts can be identified, much less understood and applied. However, because the pace of change is faster and more complex than two hundred years ago, it is necessary for all citizens to begin to think about the implications of basic changes in our society. The change is occurring so fast that we know we are in some stage of transformation, which is different from what we read about previous changes. The universities and taverns of 18th century Scotland were havens of new thinking. Thinkers in those taverns and university salons felt pride and pleasure generating new ideas. One of our challenges is to create 21st century mechanisms, places, forums that will allow us to take enough time to ponder, talk, and ideate about transformational ideas just as did those participating in the coteries in Edinburgh in the 18th century.
We know many of the old ways of thinking already no longer work. Linear thinking grows more limited in a nonlinear world where the use of the Internet provides a matrix of simultaneous connections and disconnections. The one best answer may still be appropriate for an engineering equation, but not for the needs and capacities of a community in transformation. And, what about the capacity to innovate for increased income opportunities? We need to escape the search for standard solutions in order to innovate by seeing diverse connections among disparate ideas.
Rethinking the Obvious – What is Practical and Conservative in a Changing Society
We live in a time of such transformation that the basic ideas and principles that were successful in the past are no longer useful.
By analyzing the following traditional ideas from a perspective of the future, it becomes obvious why they are increasingly less useful:
• Let's do what is practical.
• We need to be conservative to insure the value of what we do.
• Let's decide what we want in the future and plan for it.
Let's do what is practical:
As Einstein said, "one cannot solve new problems with old ways of thinking." What is considered to be practical today was a radical idea sometime in the past ... and traditional ideas are cracking as they always have in a time of historical transition.
We need to be conservative to maintain the value of what we have:
Conservatism is defined as the "disposition to preserve what is established." If an established organization, community and society wants to maintain vitality and sustainability when conditions and context within which each exists change, the most conservative thing to do is to change to insure survival. This is counterintuitive, and it necessitates new ideas in a process of what we call a "futures generative dialogue."
Let's decide what we want in the future and plan for it:
This is the basis for strategic planning. Change is occurring so fast we cannot predict the future. The best we can do is search for trends, weak signals and dialogue about what impact those trends may have. If you were a local economic developer in 1985, a mimeographed newsletter would still be used without realizing that the Internet had been in existence since 1969, and was getting ready to burst into the public consciousness around 1993 once the graphical interface of the Web was developed that allowed people and organizations in the public domain to communicate with one another in varied ways and in real time.
If we think about this implication for the future of our society, we begin to realize that we need to be able to think differently. We need to find connections where none apparently exist from a traditional perpective. We need to look for potential impacts of weak signals (what we call early signs of change) before they create a crisis. We need to think beyond the norm and realize that our context is constantly changing. How we see the world is different from how others see it. How we see the world in ten years will be different from how we see it today. We are facing a dynamic society of constant change while still trying to use the tools of a bygone age.
The significant problems we face today cannot be solved at the same level of thinking we used when we created them.
Albert Einstein
What can we do to prepare our communities and society for a different kind of future? We would suggest a counterintuitive idea. Before we "do" anything, we need to think about what we need to do. Think about how identifying emerging trends and weak signals could impact any new plan for the future. We need to build pools of leaders who can think about the future using principles, concepts, methods and techniques appropriate to a society in constant change that is interconnected by technology and that is increasingly complex This pool of leaders will be interconnected by increasingly complex technology. For us to be able to "do" the right thing, we need to think about what the right thing "is" in a changing context. Because so many changes are happening at once, we need to change the very nature of the questions we ask. What are all the things we need to think about and do in parallel to each other to build the capacities for vital and sustainable communities?
Rethinking the Future ... Searching for an Appropriate Framework of Ideas
Everyone knows the future will be different from the past. What we are just beginning to understand is that the challenges of the 21st century will probably require a "different kind of different" ... a future filled with qualitative changes as well as quantitative changes, with new principles that define and organize our society ... with a set of values that are adapted to meet the needs of a constantly changing...
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