9781602066960: A Treatise on Probability
Hardcover
ISBN 10: 1602066965 ISBN 13: 9781602066960
Verlag: Cosimo Classics, 2007

Inhaltsangabe

There is, first of all, the distinction between that part of our belief which is rational and that part which is not. If a man believes something for a reason which is preposterous or for no reason at all, and what he believes turns out to be true for some reason not known to him, he cannot be said to believe it rationally, although he believes it and it is in fact true. On the other hand, a man may rationally believe a proposition to be probable, when it is in fact false. -from Chapter II: Probability in Relation to the Theory of Knowledge His fame as an economist aside, John Maynard Keynes may be best remembered for saying, In the long run, we are all dead. That phrase may well be the most succinct expression of the theory of probability every uttered. For a longer explanation of the premise that underlies much of modern mathematics and science, Keynes's A Treatise on Probability is essential reading. First published in 1920, this is the foundational work of probability theory, which helped establish the author's enormous influence on modern economic and even political theories. Exploring aspects of randomness and chance, inductive reasoning and logical statistics, this is a work that belongs in the library of any interested in numbers and their application in the real world. AUTHOR BIO: British economist JOHN MAYNARD KEYNES (1883-1946) also wrote The Economic Consequences of the Peace (1919), The End of Laissez-Faire (1926), The Means to Prosperity (1933), and General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (1936).

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Reseña del editor

There is, first of all, the distinction between that part of our belief which is rational and that part which is not. If a man believes something for a reason which is preposterous or for no reason at all, and what he believes turns out to be true for some reason not known to him, he cannot be said to believe it rationally, although he believes it and it is in fact true. On the other hand, a man may rationally believe a proposition to be probable, when it is in fact false. -from Chapter II: Probability in Relation to the Theory of Knowledge His fame as an economist aside, John Maynard Keynes may be best remembered for saying, In the long run, we are all dead. That phrase may well be the most succinct expression of the theory of probability every uttered. For a longer explanation of the premise that underlies much of modern mathematics and science, Keynes's A Treatise on Probability is essential reading. First published in 1920, this is the foundational work of probability theory, which helped establish the author's enormous influence on modern economic and even political theories. Exploring aspects of randomness and chance, inductive reasoning and logical statistics, this is a work that belongs in the library of any interested in numbers and their application in the real world. AUTHOR BIO: British economist JOHN MAYNARD KEYNES (1883-1946) also wrote The Economic Consequences of the Peace (1919), The End of Laissez-Faire (1926), The Means to Prosperity (1933), and General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (1936).

Reseña del editor

PliKKAOK TIIK Hubjtwl mutter of this book was first broached in the brain of Lfibuix, who, in thn dwH ortation, written in his twenty-third yiwr, on the woilt of (hating thcs kings of Poland, conceived of Probability HM a braw.h of Logic, A few years before, tin probK iwC in Urn words of Polsson, propose tin aust6re jaiiH i ntH to jwr un honune du tmmdtt, aM rorigino du calcul des prohabilittV1 In tlu .intervening centuries the algebraical oxoruiM ttH, in whirli Uu Chevalier do, la M(S r6 interested Pascal, hav BH far {irrclcmiinatcul lthe leariuul world over the profotui !r tnt |utri iMf UHI philoH ophnr into thoso processes of bnmnti fiutulty which, by determining rcuisonablo preference, guidci our choice, that Probability if? oftanor reckoned with Mathewatkm than with L( gic. There mmuch here, therefore, which is uovol, and, I nsin; novel, unsifted, inaccurate, or deficient. I profound iy HyH ttnnatic conception of this subject for criticism tttul imlargwmwt at lh hatul of otlusrH, doubtful whether I myflolf am Hkttly tt got much further, by waiting longer, with a work, which, beginning as a Fellowship Dissertation, and interrupted bj tho war, has already extended over many yearn It may be perceived that I have been much influenced by W. Johnson,
(Typographical errors above are due to OCR software and don't occur in the book.)

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Verlag
Cosimo Classics
Erscheinungsdatum
2007
Sprache
Englisch
ISBN 10 
1602066965
ISBN 13 
9781602066960
Einband
Tapa dura
Anzahl der Seiten
484
Kontakt zum Hersteller
Nicht verfügbar
Verantwortliche Person
Nicht verfügbar

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