Underestimated Second Edition: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future - Softcover

Underestimated: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future

Trade paperback. Zustand: Very good. Amanda Sokolski (cover design) (illustrator). xiii, [2], 132, [4] pages. Footnotes. Figures. List of Acronyms. Index. Foreword by Andrew W. Marshall. Henry D. Sokolski was the Executive Director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center, a Washington-based nonprofit organization founded in 1994 to promote a better understanding of strategic weapons proliferation issues among policy makers, scholars, and the media. From 1989 to 1993, Sokolski served as the Deputy for Nonproliferation Policy in the Office of the Secretary of Defense, for which he received the Secretary of Defense's Medal for Outstanding Public Service. Prior to this, he worked in the Secretary of Defense's Office of Net Assessment on strategic weapons proliferation issues. Sokolski also worked on the Hill from 1984 through 1988 as military legislative aide to Senate Armed Services Committee member Dan Quayle and from 1982 through 1983 as special assistant on nuclear energy to TVA Subcommittee Chairman Senator Gordon J. Humphrey. Sokolski also worked as a consultant on nuclear weapons proliferation issues to the Intelligence Community's National Intelligence Council; received a Congressional appointment to the Deutch Proliferation Commission; served as a member of the Central Intelligence Agency's Senior Advisory Panel from 1995 to 1996; and was a member of the Commission on the Prevention of Weapons of Mass Destruction Proliferation and Terrorism, which operated until 2010. Sokolski has authored and edited books on nuclear proliferation, including Underestimated: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future. With the world focused on the nuclear crisis in Iran, it is tempting to think that addressing this case, North Korea, and the problem of nuclear terrorism is all that matters and is what matters most. Perhaps, but if states become more willing to use their nuclear weapons to achieve military advantage, the problem of proliferation will become much more unwieldy. In this case, U.S. security will be hostage not just to North Korea, Iran, or terrorists, but to nuclear proliferation more generally, diplomatic miscalculations, and wars between a much larger number of possible players. This, in a nutshell, is the premise of Underestimated: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future, which explores what we may be up against and how we think about this future. Will nuclear weapons spread in the next 20 years to more nations than just North Korea and possibly Iran? Might they be used and, if so, what might we suffer? Finally, what can be done? Underestimated examines each of these questions. NPEC created the first version of Underestimated in November of 2014. The Strategic Studies Institute published an updated first edition in December of 2015 and a second edition in August of 2018. This second edition includes the very latest citations and research. With the world focused on Iran, it is tempting to think that addressing this case, North Korea, and the problem of nuclear terrorism is all that matters and is what matters most. Perhaps, but if states become more willing to use their nuclear weapons to achieve military advantage, our security could be held hostage not just by Pyongyang, Tehran, and terrorists, but to nuclear proliferation, miscalculation, and wars between a much larger number of possible players. Second Edition [stated], Presumed first printing. Artikel-Nr. 84484

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