How will China reform its economy as it aspires to become the next economic superpower?
It's clear that China is the world's next economic superpower. But what isn't so clear is how China will get there by the middle of this century. It now faces tremendous challenges such as fostering innovation, dealing with ageing problem and coping with a less accommodative global environment.
In this book, economists from China's leading university and America's best-known think tank offer in depth analyses of these challenges. Does China have enough talent and right policy and institutional mix to transit from input-driven to innovation-driven economy? What does ageing mean, in terms of labor supply, consumption demand and social welfare expenditure? Can China contain the environmental and climate change risks? How should the financial system be transformed in order to continuously support economic growth and keep financial risks under control? What fiscal reforms are required in order to balance between economic efficiency and social harmony? What roles should the state-owned enterprises play in the future Chinese economy? In addition, how will technological competition between the United States and China affect each country's development? Will the Chinese yuan emerge as a major reserve currency, and would this destabilize the international financial system? What will be China's role in the international economic institutions? And will the United States and other established powers accept a growing role for China and the rest of the developing world in the governance of global institutions such as the World Trade Organization and the International Monetary Fund, or will the world devolve into competing blocs?
This book provides unique insights into independent analyses and policy recommendations by a group of top Chinese and American scholars. Whether China succeeds or fails in economic reform will have a large impact, not just on China's development, but also on stability and prosperity for the whole world.
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David Dollar is a senior fellow in the China Center at the Brookings Institution and host of the Dollar & Sense podcast on international trade. His most recent book is China 2049. From 2009 to 2013 he represented the U.S. Treasury in Beijing. Prior to that, Dollar worked 20 years at the World Bank.
Yiping Huang is the Director of the Institute of Digital Finance and deputy dean of the National School of Development, at the Peking University. He was formerly member of the Monetary Policy Committee of the People's Bank of China and chief Asia economist for Citigroup.
Yang Yao is a Cheung-Kong Scholar and Boya Chair professor at the China Center for Economic Research (CCER) and the National School of Development (NSD), Peking University. He currently serves as the director of CCER, and the dean of NSD. His research interests include economic transition and development in China.
China is on track to be the world's next economic superpower, but it faces tremendous challenges, including a need to foster innovation, a rapidly aging population, and a global environment skeptical of a more powerful People's Republic.
This book is the result of a collaborative effort among economists from China's Peking University and the Brookings Institution. It offers in-depth analyses of these challenges and explores a number of essential questions. Does China have enough talent and the right policy and institutional mix to transition from an input-driven to innovation-driven economy?
What does an aging population mean for the country in terms of labor supply, consumption demand, and social welfare expenditures? Can China contain environmental and climate change risks? How should the financial system be transformed in order to continuously support economic growth and keep financial risks under control?
The contributors also consider the roles state-owned enterprises play in the future Chinese economy, how technological competition between the United States and China will affect each country's development, China's future role in the international monetary system, and whether the United States and other established powers will accept a growing role for China and the rest of the developing world in the governance of global institutions such as the World Trade Organization and the International Monetary Fund.
China 2049 provides unique insights and independent analyses and policy recommendations from a group of top Chinese and U.S. scholars. Whether China succeeds or fails in economic reform as it moves toward the 100th anniversary of the Chinese Communist Revolution will have a large impact on not only China's development, but also the stability and prosperity of the whole world.
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