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Inevitable Surprises: Thinking Ahead in a Time of Turbulence - Softcover

 
9780743239103: Inevitable Surprises: Thinking Ahead in a Time of Turbulence

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A stunning exploration of the plausible prospects for tomorrow's history, and the implications they suggest for the decisions we should make today. Events like the collapse of a major energy company or a devastating terrorist attack seem to come from nowhere. Not only are they shocking and disturbing, it often appears that their prevention would have been impossible. Not so, argues Peter Schwartz in this fascinating book. Many 'surprises', he says, soon acquire an aura of inevitability once the underlying patterns of behaviour are examined. And although we cannot do anything about the past, we can try to do something about the future. What, then, is the next big surprise? How might it play out? INEVITABLE SURPRISES covers high-level, universal trends -- from business to international affairs, from biotechnology to climate change -- but presents them in the context of the particular and concrete choices that different people must make. It distinguishes those forces beyond our control from the future that we can influence and help design -- for the world around us, for our organisations, and for ourselves.

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Peter Schwartz is co-founder and Chairman of Global Business Network, the world's pre-eminent research and consulting firm focused on scenario planning. He advises a variety of blue-chip clients from government agencies to giant corporations including the CIA, Boeing and Texaco. He is the author of THE ART OF THE LONG VIEW, WHEN GOOD COMPANIES DO BAD THINGS and THE LONG BOOM.

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Peter Schwartz
Verlag: Simon & Schuster Ltd, 2003
ISBN 10: 0743239105 ISBN 13: 9780743239103
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Please note: below is a general description of how we classify our condition types. If you would like a closer look or have any specific questions, please feel free to send us a message, and we will gladly check it for you. Condition descriptions: UsedlikeNew: Barely any signs of use, almost like new. UsedGood: May show some light signs of use, such as slight discoloration or a name written on the front endpaper, but generally no markings or notes in the text. UsedAcceptable: Book in acceptable condition. May show signs of use, such as some discoloration, reading creases in the spine, underlining, notes, slight dirt on edges, dog-eared pages, or a bent spine. New: Book is new. ZB 35-12 150325. Artikel-Nr. 9780743239103

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Peter Schwartz
Verlag: Free Press, 2003
ISBN 10: 0743239105 ISBN 13: 9780743239103
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Softcover. Zustand: As New. Events like the collapse of a major energy company or a devastating terrorist attack seem to come from nowhere. Not only are they shocking and disturbing, it often appears that their prevention would have been impossible. Not so, argues Peter Schwartz in this fascinating book. Many 'surprises', he says, soon acquire an aura of inevitability once the underlying patterns of behaviour are examined. And although we cannot do anything about the past, we can try to do something about the future. What, then, is the next big surprise? How might it play out? INEVITABLE SURPRISES covers high-level, universal trends -- from business to international affairs, from biotechnology to climate change -- but presents them in the context of the particular and concrete choices that different people must make. It distinguishes those forces beyond our control from the future that we can influence and help design -- for the world around us, for our organisations, and for ourselves. Artikel-Nr. 98689917-23e1-496c-a2db-e24db551e7a1

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