Currency Power: Understanding Monetary Rivalry - Hardcover

Cohen, Mr. Benjamin J.

 
9780691167855: Currency Power: Understanding Monetary Rivalry

Inhaltsangabe

Monetary rivalry is a fact of life in the world economy. Intense competition between international currencies like the US dollar, Europes euro, and the Chinese yuan is profoundly political, going to the heart of the global balance of power. But what exactly is the relationship between currency and power, and what does it portend for the geopolitical standing of the United States, Europe, and China? Popular opinion holds that the days of the dollar, long the worlds dominant currency, are numbered. By contrast, Currency Power argues that the current monetary rivalry still greatly favors Americas greenback. Benjamin Cohen shows why neither the euro nor the yuan will supplant the dollar at the top of the global currency hierarchy

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Über die Autorin bzw. den Autor

Benjamin J. Cohen is the Louis G. Lancaster Professor of International Political Economy at the University of California, Santa Barbara.

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"It is widely believed that we are moving away from a dollar-dominated global monetary system, just as we are moving away from a US-dominated global economy. But the consequences--for economics, finance, and geopolitics—remain unclear. No one is better qualified than Benjamin Cohen, the dean of international political economists, to make sense of these issues. In Currency Power, he succeeds in doing just that."--Barry Eichengreen, University of California, Berkeley

"Benjamin Cohen conceptualizes currency power as the capacity to avoid adjustment costs, either by delay or deflection--shifting these costs onto others. Read this book for its brilliant examination of currency power and get Cohen's contemporary analysis as a bonus."--Robert O. Keohane, Princeton University

"Benjamin Cohen, one of the world's foremost experts in the field and mentor to generations of accomplished scholars, draws effortlessly on a half century of expertise and experience with characteristic clarity. Comprehensive, yet nimble and distinctly argued, Currency Power is the go-to book for an overview of the vital and consequential politics of international money."--Jonathan Kirshner, author of American Power after the Financial Crisis

"In Currency Power, Benjamin Cohen addresses the potential for other currencies to rival the US dollar's dominant position in the international monetary system. Cohen has spent a career exploring the politics of international monetary relations and he knows the literature inside and out. The culmination of a life's work, this is the best book on the topic available."--J. Lawrence Broz, University of California, San Diego

"Currency Power promises to solidify Benjamin Cohen's reputation as the foundational author of what we know about currencies and their cross-border use. This is a tour de force on global monetary power and the world's currency system. It will sharpen the debate and have a lasting impact on the international political economy field for decades to come."--Carla Norrlof, University of Toronto

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Currency Power

Understanding Monetary Rivalry

By Benjamin J. Cohen

PRINCETON UNIVERSITY PRESS

Copyright © 2015 Princeton University Press
All rights reserved.
ISBN: 978-0-691-16785-5

Contents

List of Tables and Figures, ix,
Acknowledgments, xi,
Abbreviations and Acronyms, xiii,
Introduction, 1,
1 International Currency, 8,
2 Power Analysis, 28,
3 Monetary Power, 48,
4 From Currency to Power, 77,
5 From Power to Currency, 102,
6 Currency Competition Today (with Tabitha M. Benney), 135,
7 The Dollar: Power Undiminished, 160,
8 The Euro: Power Unrealized, 185,
9 The Yuan: Power Unstoppable?, 214,
10 Summing Up, 237,
Notes, 245,
References, 257,
Index, 275,


CHAPTER 1

International Currency

International hierarchies are pervasive.

David Lake


This book is about currency and power. But before we can explore the details of their relationship, we must first establish a clear understanding of each of the two concepts considered separately. What do we know about currency internationalization? What do we know about international power? These are the essential building blocks for the discussion to follow.

Power analysis will be the subject of chapter 2. This chapter focuses on currency, outlining the nature and implications of international money as generally understood by social scientists today. The aim is to provide a baseline and context for the analysis to follow: a consensus perspective on the basics of currency internationalization. Several critical questions are addressed. What drives the process of currency internationalization, what determines which currencies will become internationalized, and what does the universe of international currencies look like? Elsewhere I have referred to this last question as the "geography of money." Most importantly, what are the presumed implications of the process for the countries that issue an international currency?


Motivations

Currencies, if attractive enough, may be employed outside their country of origin for any of a number of monetary purposes. The standard taxonomy for characterizing the roles of international money, which I can take pride in originating, separates out the three familiar functions of money — medium of exchange, unit of account, store of value — at two levels of analysis — the private market and official policy — adding up to six roles in all. Specialists today generally speak of the separate roles of an international currency at the private level in foreign-exchange trading (medium of exchange), trade invoicing and settlement (unit of account and medium of exchange), and financial markets (store of value). At the official level, we speak of a money's roles as an exchange-rate anchor (unit of account), intervention currency (medium of exchange), or reserve currency (store of value). Each of the six roles is distinct in practical as well as analytical terms. The taxonomy is summarized in table 1.1.

Currency internationalization alters monetary geography by accentuating the hierarchical relationship among currencies, expanding the domains of a few popular moneys well beyond the jurisdictions of the countries that issue them. The outcome is produced by a sort of a Darwinian process of natural selection, driven above all by the force of competition — much like Gresham's Law, except in reverse. Instead of "bad" money driving out "good," as Gresham's Law traditionally holds, the good money drives out bad. There is nothing irrational about the process. On the contrary, internationalization may be regarded as a quite natural demand response to prevailing market structures and incentives.

Analytically, the motivations for internationalization can be easily appreciated. The incentive derives from the economies of scale, or reduced transactions costs, to be gained from concentrating cross-border activities in just one or at most a few currencies with broad transactional networks. To do business in each country in a separate money is analogous to barter and clearly inefficient. Within any single economy, monetary exchange — rather than barter — reduces the expenses associated with search and bargaining. So too between states. The costs of transactions are narrowed by making use of one or just a few currencies rather than many. In the words of one study: "The necessity of 'double coincidence of wants' in a decentralized foreign exchange market may be overcome by using indirect exchange, through a generally acceptable medium of exchange instead of direct exchange of currencies." The greater the volume of transactions that can be done via a single currency, the smaller are the costs of gathering information and converting from one money to another. Monetary theorists describe these gains as money's "network externalities" or, simply, the network value of money. Network externalities may be understood as a form of interdependence in which the practices of any one actor depend strategically on the practices adopted by others in the same network of agents.

In fact, currency internationalization improves the usefulness of money in all its roles. International standing enhances a currency's value both as a commercial medium of exchange and as a unit of account for the invoicing and settlement of trade; and these effects in turn also broaden its appeal as a store of value, by facilitating accumulation of wealth in assets of more universal purchasing power. At a minimum, it will pay market agents to hold some level of working balances in a popular international currency. Depending on cross-border variations of interest rates and exchange-rate expectations, it will pay them to use it for longer-term investment purposes as well.

Moreover, once a money comes to be widely used by private actors, it is more likely to be employed by governments too, as a reserve currency, intervention medium, and anchor for exchange rates. Public actors too can benefit from the economies of scale offered by a broad transactional network. Historically, the typical pattern of internationalization is adoption first by the private sector, with the public sector then following.


Choices

Why are there so few international currencies? Within individual countries, the role of a single money can be promoted by the coercive powers of the state. Sovereign governments can deploy legal-tender laws, exchange controls, and related regulatory measures to force residents to make use of the national currency for all legitimate monetary purposes. Inside their borders, states enjoy a de jure monopoly on the creation and management of money. But at the international level, the capacity for coercion is more limited. Compulsion is of course possible in colonial or quasi-imperial clientalistic relationships. But in the more normal case, in relations among independent nations, monopoly is replaced by competition, and actors must be persuaded rather than compelled to make use of one currency rather than another. Rivalry for market share, as a rule, is the essence of the process of internationalization. Typically, to gain standing, a money must be competitive.

And what makes a money competitive? What determines which currencies will prevail in the Darwinian struggle? The principal qualities required for competitive success are familiar to specialists and hardly controversial. Both economic and political factors appear to be involved.

On the economic side, demand seems to be shaped most...

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9780691181066: Currency Power: Understanding Monetary Rivalry

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ISBN 10:  0691181063 ISBN 13:  9780691181066
Verlag: Princeton University Press, 2018
Softcover