It was none other than Henri Poincare who at the turn of the last century, recognised that initial-value sensitivity is a fundamental source of random ness. For statisticians working within the traditional statistical framework, the task of critically assimilating randomness generated by a purely de terministic system, often known as chaos, is an intellectual challenge. Like some other statisticians, we have taken up this challenge and our curiosity as reporters and participants has led us to investigate beyond the earlier discoveries in the field. Earlier statistical work in the area was mostly con cerned with the estimation of what is sometimes imprecisely called the fractal dimension. During the different stages of our writing, substantial portions of the book were used in lectures and seminars. These include the DMV (German Mathematical Society) Seminar Program, the inaugural session of lectures to the Crisis Points Project at the Peter Wall Institute of Advanced Stud ies, University of British Columbia and the graduate courses on Time Series Analysis at the University of Iowa, the University of Hong Kong, the Lon don School of Economics and Political Science, and the Chinese University of Hong Kong. We have therefore benefitted greatly from the comments and suggestions of these audiences as well as from colleagues and friends. We are grateful to them for their contributions. Our special thanks go to Colleen Cutler, Cees Diks, Barbel FinkensHidt, Cindy Greenwood, Masakazu Shi mada, Floris Takens and Qiwei Yao.
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Jonathan Cryer is Professor Emeritus, University of Iowa, in the Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science. He is a Fellow of the American Statistical Association and received a Collegiate Teaching Award from the University of Iowa College of Liberal Arts and Sciences. He is the author of Statistics for Business: Data Analysis and Modeling, Second Edition, (with Robert B. Miller), the Minitab Handbook, Fifth Edition, (with Barbara Ryan and Brian Joiner), the Electronic Companion to Statistics (with George Cobb), Electronic Companion to Business Statistics (with George Cobb) and numerous research papers. Kung-Sik Chan is Professor, University of Iowa, in the Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science. He is a Fellow of the American Statistical Association and the Institute of the Mathematical Statistics, and an Elected Member of the International Statistical Institute. He received a Faculty Scholar Award from the University of Iowa in 1996. He is the author of Chaos: A Statistical Perspective (with Howell Tong) and numerous research papers.
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