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Inhaltsangabe
The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday
'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent
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Über die Autorin bzw. den Autor
Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent twenty-one years as a risk taker before becoming a researcher in philosophical, mathematical, and (mostly) practical problems with probability. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafes across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Tandon School of Engineering but self-funds his own research.
His books, Antifragile, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes and Fooled by Randomness (part of a multi-volume collection called Incerto, Latin for uncertainty), have been translated into thirty-seven languages. Taleb has authored more than fifty scholarly papers as backup to Incerto, ranging from international affairs and risk management to statistical physics. He refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports.
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What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This title deals with this questions.
Aus dem Klappentext
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
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The Black Swan : The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Anbieter: Buchpark, Trebbin, Deutschland
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Zustand: Gut. Zustand: Gut | Seiten: 444 | Sprache: Englisch | Produktart: Bücher. Artikel-Nr. 3944291/203
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Verlag:
Penguin Books Ltd, United Kingdom, London, 2008
ISBN 10: 0141034599
ISBN 13: 9780141034591
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Anbieter: WorldofBooks, Goring-By-Sea, WS, Vereinigtes Königreich
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Paperback. Zustand: Very Good. The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. 'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide . I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday 'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged. Artikel-Nr. GOR001219488
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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Zustand: good. Befriedigend/Good: Durchschnittlich erhaltenes Buch bzw. Schutzumschlag mit Gebrauchsspuren, aber vollständigen Seiten. / Describes the average WORN book or dust jacket that has all the pages present. Artikel-Nr. M00141034599-G
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THE BLACK SWAN. The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Anbieter: INFINIBU KG, Neuss, Deutschland
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Softcover. Zustand: Sehr gut. Das Buch thematisiert die Bedeutung seltener und unvorhersehbarer Ereignisse (sogenannter \ Black Swans\ ) und deren Einfluss auf die Welt. Taleb erläutert, wie solche Ereignisse unsere Wahrnehmung von Geschichte und Märkten verändern. Zustand: Einband mit geringfügigen Gebrauchsspuren, insgesamt SEHR GUTER Zustand! Stichworte: Genres: Philosophie, Wirtschaft, Soziologie; Schlagworte: Black Swan, Unvorhersehbarkeit, Risikomanagement, Finanzmärkte, Philosophie, Statistik, Randomness, globale Ereignisse, Unsicherheit, Nassim Taleb. 480 Seiten Englisch 304g. Artikel-Nr. 234281
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The Black Swan : The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Anbieter: Better World Books Ltd, Dunfermline, Vereinigtes Königreich
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Zustand: Very Good. Ships from the UK. Former library book; may include library markings. Used book that is in excellent condition. May show signs of wear or have minor defects. Artikel-Nr. 7568245-6
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The Black Swan : The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Anbieter: Better World Books Ltd, Dunfermline, Vereinigtes Königreich
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Zustand: Good. Ships from the UK. Used book that is in clean, average condition without any missing pages. Artikel-Nr. GRP7554667
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The Black Swan : The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Anbieter: Better World Books Ltd, Dunfermline, Vereinigtes Königreich
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Zustand: Good. Ships from the UK. Former library book; may include library markings. Used book that is in clean, average condition without any missing pages. Artikel-Nr. 4449993-6
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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Paperback. Zustand: As New. No Jacket. Pages are clean and are not marred by notes or folds of any kind. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 0.73. Artikel-Nr. G0141034599I2N00
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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Paperback. Zustand: Fair. No Jacket. Readable copy. Pages may have considerable notes/highlighting. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 0.73. Artikel-Nr. G0141034599I5N00
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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Paperback. Zustand: Fair. No Jacket. Readable copy. Pages may have considerable notes/highlighting. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 0.73. Artikel-Nr. G0141034599I5N00
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