The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable - Softcover

Buch 2 von 5: Incerto

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas

 
9780141034591: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Softcover
ISBN 10: 0141034599 ISBN 13: 9780141034591
Verlag: Penguin, 2008

Inhaltsangabe

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday

'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent

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Über die Autorin bzw. den Autor

Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent twenty-one years as a risk taker before becoming a researcher in philosophical, mathematical, and (mostly) practical problems with probability. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafes across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Tandon School of Engineering but self-funds his own research.

His books, Antifragile, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes and Fooled by Randomness (part of a multi-volume collection called Incerto, Latin for uncertainty), have been translated into thirty-seven languages. Taleb has authored more than fifty scholarly papers as backup to Incerto, ranging from international affairs and risk management to statistical physics. He refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports.

Von der hinteren Coverseite

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This title deals with this questions.

Aus dem Klappentext

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

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Verlag
Penguin
Erscheinungsdatum
2008
Sprache
Englisch
ISBN 10 
0141034599
ISBN 13 
9780141034591
Einband
Taschenbuch
Anzahl der Seiten
480
Kontakt zum Hersteller
Penguin Random House Verlagsgruppe GmbH
kundenservice@penguinrandomhouse.de

Neumarkter Straße 28
München
Bayern
81673
Deutschland

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Vorgestellte Ausgabe

ISBN 10:  0713999950 ISBN 13:  9780713999952
Verlag: Allen Lane, 2007
Hardcover