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Verlag: Penguin Books (edition Illustrated), 2015
ISBN 10: 0143125087ISBN 13: 9780143125082
Anbieter: BooksRun, Philadelphia, PA, USA
Buch
Paperback. Zustand: Fair. Illustrated. Ship within 24hrs. Satisfaction 100% guaranteed. APO/FPO addresses supported.
Verlag: Penguin Publishing Group, 2015
ISBN 10: 0143125087ISBN 13: 9780143125082
Anbieter: Better World Books, Mishawaka, IN, USA
Buch Erstausgabe
Zustand: Good. 1st Edition. Used book that is in clean, average condition without any missing pages.
Verlag: Penguin Publishing Group, 2015
ISBN 10: 0143125087ISBN 13: 9780143125082
Anbieter: Better World Books, Mishawaka, IN, USA
Buch Erstausgabe
Zustand: Good. 1st Edition. Former library book; may include library markings. Used book that is in clean, average condition without any missing pages.
Verlag: Penguin Books, 2015
ISBN 10: 0143125087ISBN 13: 9780143125082
Buch
Zustand: Very Good. Very Good condition. A copy that may have a few cosmetic defects. May also contain light spine creasing or a few markings such as an owner's name, short gifter's inscription or light stamp.
Verlag: Penguin Books, 2015
ISBN 10: 0143125087ISBN 13: 9780143125082
Anbieter: WorldofBooks, Goring-By-Sea, WS, Vereinigtes Königreich
Buch
Paperback. Zustand: Very Good. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged.
Verlag: Penguin Books (edition Illustrated), 2015
ISBN 10: 0143125087ISBN 13: 9780143125082
Anbieter: BooksRun, Philadelphia, PA, USA
Buch
Paperback. Zustand: Very Good. Illustrated. Ship within 24hrs. Satisfaction 100% guaranteed. APO/FPO addresses supported.
Verlag: Penguin Books, 2015
ISBN 10: 0143125087ISBN 13: 9780143125082
Anbieter: WeBuyBooks 2, Rossendale, LANCS, Vereinigtes Königreich
Buch
Zustand: Good. Most items will be dispatched the same or the next working day. A copy that has been read but remains in clean condition. All of the pages are intact and the cover is intact and the spine may show signs of wear. The book may have minor markings which are not specifically mentioned.
Verlag: Penguin Books, 2015
ISBN 10: 0143125087ISBN 13: 9780143125082
Anbieter: WeBuyBooks 2, Rossendale, LANCS, Vereinigtes Königreich
Buch
Zustand: VeryGood. Most items will be dispatched the same or the next working day. A copy that has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged.
Verlag: Penguin Publishing Group 2015-02-03, New York, 2015
ISBN 10: 0143125087ISBN 13: 9780143125082
Anbieter: Blackwell's, London, Vereinigtes Königreich
Buch
paperback. Zustand: New. Language: ENG.
Verlag: Penguin Putnam Inc, 2015
ISBN 10: 0143125087ISBN 13: 9780143125082
Anbieter: Robinson Street Books, IOBA, Binghamton, NY, USA
Verbandsmitglied: IOBA
Buch
Trade Paperbac. Zustand: Used: Good. Prompt shipment, with tracking. we ship in CLEAN SECURE BOXES NEW BOXES Social & Political Philosophy: Good trade paperback. Some creasing and wear on cover, corners and spine. Clean pages.
Verlag: Penguin LLC US Feb 2015, 2015
ISBN 10: 0143125087ISBN 13: 9780143125082
Anbieter: AHA-BUCH GmbH, Einbeck, Deutschland
Buch
Taschenbuch. Zustand: Neu. Neuware - 'One of the more momentous books of the decade.' The New York Times Book ReviewNate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger all by the time he was thirty. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election.Silver is the founder of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the prediction paradox : The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future.In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball to global pandemics, from the poker table to the stock market, from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success Are they good or just lucky What patterns have they unraveled And are their forecasts really right He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary and dangerous science.Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise.With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver s insights are an essential read.