The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility": 2 (Incerto) - Hardcover
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Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb
"The most prophetic voice of all."--GQ
Praise for The Black Swan "[A book] that altered modern thinking."--The Times (London) "A masterpiece."--Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail
"Idiosyncratically brilliant."--Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
"The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works."--Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy."--The Wall Street Journal
"Hugely enjoyable--compelling . . . easy to dip into."--Financial Times
"Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition."--The New York Times Book Review
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"The most prophetic voice of all."--GQ
Praise for The Black Swan "[A book] that altered modern thinking."--The Times (London) "A masterpiece."--Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail
"Idiosyncratically brilliant."--Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
"The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works."--Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy."--The Wall Street Journal
"Hugely enjoyable--compelling . . . easy to dip into."--Financial Times
"Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition."--The New York Times Book Review
Examines the role of the unexpected--the Black Swan--in both life and human history, explaining how the phenomenon and its applications affect every aspect of the world in which we live, why humans are unable to anticipate a Black Swan, and how we rationalize the phenomenon to make it appear less random. 50,000 first printing.
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- VerlagRandom House
- Erscheinungsdatum2007
- ISBN 10 1400063515
- ISBN 13 9781400063512
- EinbandTapa dura
- Anzahl der Seiten480
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The Black Swan
Verlag:
Random House Publishing Group 2007-04-17, New York
(2007)
ISBN 10: 1400063515
ISBN 13: 9781400063512
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Buchbeschreibung hardback. Zustand: New. Language: ENG. Artikel-Nr. 9781400063512
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The Black Swan: Second Edition : The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility"
Verlag:
Random House Publishing Group Jan 1900
(1900)
ISBN 10: 1400063515
ISBN 13: 9781400063512
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Buchbeschreibung Buch. Zustand: Neu. Neuware - The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don t know, now with a new section called On Robustness and Fragility. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the impossible. For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Talebwill change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory.Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications,The Black Swanis a landmark book itself a black swan. Artikel-Nr. 9781400063512
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The Black Swan: Second Edition
Verlag:
Random House Publishing Group
(2007)
ISBN 10: 1400063515
ISBN 13: 9781400063512
Neu
Hardcover
Anzahl: 3
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Buchbeschreibung Gebunden. Zustand: New. Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to problems of uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. He spent nearly two decades as a businessman and quantitative trader before becoming a full-time philosophical essayist and academic researcher in 2006. Artikel-Nr. 595684173
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